The Disappointment Zone

Musings from a Cleveland sports fan

Cleveland Browns: QB Score: Week 14

Posted by disappointmentzone on 10 December 2007

Well, I didn’t get a chance to watch much of the Browns game, so the analysis portion of this recap is going to incredibly thin. Ready for it? Let’s go!

The Browns beat the Jets, 24-18, to improve to 8-5 heading into next week’s showdown against Buffalo. Winning is undeniably better than losing, so good for the Browns.

This week’s analysis was brought to you by Joe Morgan.

QB Score: 62
QB Score per play: 1.94

Note: When Derek Anderson takes a knee as the clock expires his QB Score is adversely affected because he’s credited with -1 yard rushing for each kneel down. In turn, his QB Score per play is adversely affected since the kneel down counts as a play (his QB Score is now divided over additional plays, which lowers it). Since the NFL does not keep track of kneel downs (or spikes to stop the clock) the QB Score formula cannot be adjusted to account for these non-plays. But we can still adjust the inputs for the current QB Score formula to reflect these non-plays. If we do that for Anderson this week his QB Score per play jumps from 1.94, or slightly above average, to 2.33, or more comfortably above average.

Anderson’s biggest problem right now is interceptions. He’s now gone four consecutive games with at least one INT. He’s not taking sacks and that should be commended (with props to the offensive line as well) but throwing these interceptions is really hurting him and, as an extension, the team. As the weather gets progressively worse it’s going to become even more crucial that Anderson cuts back on the mistakes. It’s much harder to drill a ball into a skinny post route when the wind is swirling and the snow is falling. Poor weather is going to cause the occasional bad play. Anderson needs to make sure he’s not the cause for additional bad plays.

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6 Responses to “Cleveland Browns: QB Score: Week 14”

  1. you are right on about the INT’s…but do not forget to factor in all the dropped balls…it happens…but we went through a stretch where it was happening way too much…

  2. Erik said

    If Anderson were a pitcher, he’d be a perennial all-star. He seems to have to fight a natural sinking/tailing action on all his throws.

    Take some of his worst shoetop throws over the season, replace the football with a baseball, and I bet he’s Kevin Brown in his prime, throwing a filthy 95-mph sinker that starts at a batter’s hip and ends up in the opposite batter’s box.

  3. there is no doubt about it…but if a wide receiver can get his finger tips on the ball he is paid to haul it in, period. that’s why they are millionaires.

    but I don’t disagree with you Erik…the QB ought not make it is difficult as possible, certainly.

  4. RockKing said

    I’m confused about something. If the NFL doesn’t keep track of kneel down plays, and you didn’t watch the game, where did you get the adjusted QB Score from? Not questioning the validity of it….just curious how you got those numbers.

  5. @RockKing

    I checked the drive log and saw that the Browns had -2 yards rushing on two plays at the end of the fourth quarter. I figured these represented kneel downs.

    I calculated the QB Score from the official NFL data, so Anderson was credited with those -2 yards rushing and the additional two plays affected the QB Score per play. The QB Score in bold represents the valid QB Score.

    But then I decided to take a look at the QB Score/QB Score per play without the kneel downs. I just subtracted two running plays from his running play total and added two yards rushing to his rushing total. This is all done with the Yahoo box scores.

    The reason why this is a technically invalid QB Score is because I’m cheating the model by withholding data.

    On the list of official statistics I’d like to see the NFL keep, kneel downs and intentional spikes are on the list. Next would be pass interference yards. On a pass interference penalty the QB isn’t credited with a throw and the receiver isn’t credited with any receiving yards. This baffles me. If you ask me pass interference should be treated in the stats like a completion. After all, the presumption on PI penalties is that the receiver would have made the catch.

  6. RockKing said

    Gotcha. That makes sense. Thanks.

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