The Disappointment Zone

Musings from a Cleveland sports fan

Browns: 56.9%

Posted by disappointmentzone on 21 November 2007

Last week the Browns had a 30% chance of making the playoffs, down from a season high of 39% the previous week. But after a victory over the hated Baltimore Ravens the Browns now find themselves favored to make the playoffs. That’s right, folks: we’re finally above a coin toss! 56.9% to be exact. Rejoice, rejoice!

Also of note are the Browns’ chances of winning the division. My guess was that they’d have about a 7% chance. Turns out I was off by quite a bit. Thanks to the Steelers botching one against the J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets the Browns now have a whopping 17.6% chance of stealing the division from the steely golden grasp of our rivals to the East. This is also a season high.

Curiously the Browns have a 1.1% chance of earning the #2 seed in the AFC. This actually seems a bit low to me. I would have figured that number would be closer to 3%. Oh well.

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3 Responses to “Browns: 56.9%”

  1. RockKing said

    Wow, I really didn’t think the chances of winning the division would be over 10%. I wonder what is causing such a high percentage, increased odds of Pittsburgh losing games or increased odds of Cleveland winning games?

  2. The Steelers do have two legitimately tough road tests ahead in NE and BAL, and since they have a penchant for losing to crap teams on the road, maybe the St. Louis game won’t be a waltz.

    But I agree that 17.6% seems to be a little high. Of course, I only see one honestly difficult game for the Browns, at Arizona. Other than that I think they’ll be favored by at least 3.5 points in the rest of their games. Stranger things have happened I suppose.

  3. the season of dreams is ALIVE! woooooooooooooo!

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