Browns: 39%
Posted by disappointmentzone on 7 November 2007
Football Outsiders has updated its Playoff Odds Report. Last week they gave the Browns a 27% chance of making the playoffs. This week they give the Browns a 39% chance, with a mean wins of 9.2.
kiddicus said
If you look at the remaining schedule :
Pitt
Bal
Houston
Arizona
NY Jets
Buffalo
Cincy
San Francisco
We have a solid chance of going 11-5. I don’t think even the most die-hard Browns fan would’ve predicted a 5-3 record by this point in the year. We played some tough football against some good teams… and we just have mop-up duty now.
disappointmentzone said
Yeah, I wrote about this a short while ago. I put the Browns on 10-6, at worst 9-7. Both will get them the wild card, I think.
kiddicus said
I guess what I was trying to say is that 39% seems a tad low to me when you consider the less-than-formidable opposition.
I guess I need to start reading more.
disappointmentzone said
The 39% reflects (I’m assuming) that right now the Browns do not hold the tie breaker for the wild card. In other words they don’t control their own destiny, which means that even if they win out they aren’t guaranteed a playoff spot. But I think it’s a safe bet that if the Browns win the rest of their games they’ll make the playoffs.